Disrupting Geostrategic Thought
Futura Consideranda: Consequential Leadership
A Leader Considers History There are many qualities required of a worthwhile leader. Having good advisers is an excellent start. Another key
Politics as the Continuation of Conflict
John Sjoholm analyzes hybrid conflict and Russian strategic thinking.
The Reliability Problem
American systems and security availability become less predictable when the security situation accelerates and becomes acute for the recipient. Ukraine experienced this
Working Hypothesis: Europe Seeks Relative Advantage from US Overextension
U.S. strikes on Iranian infrastructure are unlikely to achieve compliance goals. The more probable response is indirect escalation through asymmetric means, calibrated
Mission Profile: Soft Power as the New Dominion
Donald Trump and his administration’s haphazard approach to alliance discipline, strategic continuity, and the maintenance of American primacy supplied the final lesson:
Rest In Peace Vojvoda (Duke) Slavko (Ilije) Aleksić
Slavko Aleksić (Војвода Славко Алексић), a Bosnian Serb Chetnik commander (vojvoda) who commanded the New Sarajevo Chetnik Detachment of the Army of
Soft Power as Dominion: Speaking Softly, Building Systems
The most durable power is not enforced at gunpoint; it is embedded in systems. My industry has a simple rule: never do
The Currency War Nobody Wants to Name
Venezuela did not become problematic because it was authoritarian, corrupt, or illegitimate. It had been all three for years without provoking decisive
Vae Victis: Putin Wins
A frozen conflict would be a Russian victory in anything but name. Why a frozen conflict in Ukraine would amount to a
The Reassurance Trap
The Reassurance Trap: When Realism Is Rendered Consequence-Free With Trump’s appearance at Davos, the world on edge, and the frontlines unstable, reassurance
The child does not fear the dark…
On weekends such as this, one should sit with one’s family and tell stories that begin with once upon a time ...
Europe’s Liberal Self-Deception
Order was once built; its absence is now assumed. Europe is not undergoing an ideological shift, but an analytical collapse. Great powers
Weaponisation of the Suffering – Frozen Conflicts, Displacement, and the Utility of Human Movement
Human suffering scales efficiently when it is managed. The weaponisation of refugees is a low-cost, high-leverage instrument for states able to tolerate
Europe must decide whether it intends to remain a consumer of security or finally become its producer
The Russia-Ukraine conflict endures not because it is strategically complex, but because it is strategically convenient. But the truth beneath the rhetoric
Europe will survive only if it pays someone else to die in its place
Toute vérité n’est pas bonne à dire: Purchased Frontiers. “War is not about who is right, but who is left.” Sweden does
